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Saturday, August 26, 2006

Challenge Cup - Final - St Helens vs Huddersfield Giants

St Helens vs Huddersfield Giants (+16/20pts)

The Challenge Cup final, no finer stage for players to write their name in the history books of this great sport.

Normally tight and nervy affairs, this fixture is renouned for its low scoring and dramatic last minute heros (if you needed reminding; cast your minds back to last years final).

I see today's final going slightly different to the norm, I see points and quite alot of them, mainly from St Helens. The Lancashire club start the match as 1.10 favourites and -16/20pts on the bookmakers handicap lines (hardly worth getting excited about is it?). However I just can't bring myself back Saints to cover such a big handicap on a stage like this. Why not back Huddersfield? Not wise. Yes, they have been boosted by the return of captain Chris Thorman and hooker Brad Drew, however we seen the price Leeds Rhinos paid last years final, when they risked a half fit Keith Senior.

Both finalists have quality in their back line, but Saints' size and strength up front should prove too much for the Giants to handle. I worry for Huddersfield, who have been dragged into the relegation battle after a poor run in the league, a headache they could do without, especially today.

Although I generally dont bet on tryscorer markets, I do like the look of Jamie Lyon to score at anytime with paddypower @ 1.90.

The Aussie try scoring machine wants to leave Super League on a high and there is no bigger stage over in the UK than the Challenge Cup final. He has scored regularly this season (24 tries in 30 apps), I expect him to get a piece of the action this weekend.

Bet365, skybet and vc all price this up at 1.50.

paddypower's price on Shaun Long (2.50) may also tempt punters (sky bet go as low as 1.57).

Small stakes, just for the added interest.

Huddersfield: Reilly; Aspinwall, Wild, De Vere, Donlan; Thorman (capt), Paul; Jackson, Drew, Gannon, Nero, Raleigh, Jones. Replacements: Smith, Crabtree, Snitch, McDonald.

St Helens: Wellens; Gardner, Lyon, Talau, Meli; Pryce, Long; Cayless, Cunningham, P Anderson, Wilkin, Sculthorpe (capt), Hooper. Replacements: Roby, Graham, Gilmour, Fa'asavalu, V Anderson.

Recommendation:
J Lyon to score at anytime @ 1.90 paddypower (1pt)
S Long to score at anytime @ 2.50 paddypower (1pt)

(Scale - 1 to 5pts)

As seen on Punters Lounge - The World's Greatest Betting Forum Check it out - www.punterslounge.com

Good luck!

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